Application of shock index and modified shock index in predicting adverse outcome in primary postpartum hemorrhage (Record no. 3487)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 04912nam a22002297a 4500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20251007154032.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 251007b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Description conventions NLM
060 ## - NATIONAL LIBRARY OF MEDICINE CALL NUMBER
Classification number WQ 330
Item number 00776
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Vaidya, Sapana Amatya Dr.
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Application of shock index and modified shock index in predicting adverse outcome in primary postpartum hemorrhage
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Kathmandu, Nepal ;
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Kathmandu University & Nepal Health Research Council (NHRC) ;
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2025.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 80p.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note In partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master in Medical Research.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Background: Primary postpartum hemorrhage is a leading cause of maternal mortality and morbidity worldwide. Early detection of clinical deterioration after postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) is often missed because of the masking effect of hemodynamic changes in the immediate postpartum period and underestimated blood loss. Therefore, the Shock Index (SI), which is defined as the ratio of heart rate to systolic blood pressure, and the Modifies Shock Index (MSI), which incorporates mean arterial pressure, are potential tools for assessing circulatory compromise in PPH. This study aims to evaluate the use of the Shock Index (SI) and the Modified Shock Index (MSI) in predicting adverse maternal outcomes among women experiencing primary PPH.<br/><br/>Method: An observational study was conducted with a total of 281 postpartum women diagnosed with primary postpartum hemorrhage at Paropakar Maternity and Women’s Hospital, Kathmandu. Ethical approval was obtained from the Institutional Review Committee of Paropakar Maternity and Women’s Hospital. Sociodemographic profiles and hemodynamic parameters, including blood pressure and heart rate, were recorded at once and two hours following the diagnosis. The Shock Index (SI) and Modified Shock Index (MSI) values were calculated based on the recorded vital parameters accordingly. Outcomes such as need for blood transfusion, surgical interventions, e.g., hemostatic sutures, condom tamponade, hysterectomy, and ICU admission were documented. Epidata 3.1 was used for the data entry, and SPSS version 21 was used for the statistical analysis. Data analysis included descriptive statistics, Wilcoxon, Signed Rank Test, Spearman correlation, ROC curve analysis, and binary logistic regression to assess predictive performance. <br/><br/>Results: There was a statistically significant reduction in both SI and MSI between one and two hours post-PPH (p < 0.001). Both SI and MSI show stronger correlations at one hour (P value-0.01) than at two hours (P value-0.05) for shock index and P value for modified shock index (0.01). However, MSI showed a stronger correlation with adverse outcomes than SI, with consistent predictive strength across both vaginal and cesarean deliveries. MSI may be the more reliable overall predictor at one and two hours, especially considering its incorporation of mean arterial pressure, which may better reflect perfusion status in early PPH. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that SI and MSI at one hour had good predictive value for adverse outcomes, with SI at 1 hour, the highest AUC (0.826), followed by MSI (0.799) and Estimated Blood Loss (0.806), with good sensitivity and specificity MSI maintained its value as a dynamic monitoring tool with a balanced sensitivity and specificity across both time points, Logistic regression analysis revealed MSI at one hour showed the highest predictive power (OR = 51.47, p < 0.001). In contrast, MSI at two hours remained statistically significant (OR = 32.20, p = 0.032) in comparison to SI at 1 hour (OR = 8,133.0, p < 0.001) and SI at 2 hours Odd Ratio (OR) = 343.09, p = 0.010. These results suggest that MSI is both an effective early warning marker and a reliable tool for continued risk assessment in the postpartum period at MSI demonstrated more consistent performance across both time points. <br/><br/>Conclusion: Both Shock Index (SI) and Modified Shock Index (MSI) are valuable predictors of adverse maternal outcomes in primary postpartum hemorrhage (PPH), with significant changes observed between one and two hours postpartum. MSI showed a stronger and more consistent predictive ability across different time points and modes of delivery. MSI at one hour had the highest predictive value (OR = 51.47, p < 0.001), and this significance persisted at two hours. Due to its inclusion of mean arterial pressure and stable performance, MSI appears to be a more reliable early warning and monitoring tool for guiding clinical management in PPH.<br/><br/>Key words: Adverse outcome, Modified shock index, Postpartum hemorrhage, Shock index. <br/>
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Adverse outcome.
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Modified shock index.
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Postpartum hemorrhage.
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Shock index.
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Link text https://nhrc.gov.np/contact
Public note Visit NHRC Library
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme National Library of Medicine
Koha item type Thesis Report
Call number prefix THS00776-VAi-2025.
Suppress in OPAC Yes
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Total Checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Copy number Price effective from Koha item type
    National Library of Medicine     Nepal Health Research Council Nepal Health Research Council Thesis Cart 10/07/2025   WQ 330/THS00776/VAI/2025 THS00776 10/07/2025 1 10/07/2025 Thesis Report

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